I have one question to you - how to calculate where odds "should" move after first set.
Example, we have 2 players, both have 2,00 odds.
First player win set, odds "should" move to 1.33. How to calculate it?
First of all remember that the calculation only refers to 3 set matches.
So starting price is 2.00 for both players. Which equals 50% for both winning the match. And therefore a 50% chance of winning each set.
|Season 2014 is just around the corner|
Lets calculate Player B's chances of winning the match. He needs to win 2 sets in order to win the match from a 0-1 set deficit. Which gives us 50%*50% = 25% (0.5*0.5=0.25)
Now we can easily get Player A's winning chances 100%-25% = 75% (1-0.25=0.75)
75% chance of winning the match equals 1.33 in odds (1/0.75=1.33)
Merry Christmas & Stay Sharp!